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Consultancy support for the analysis of the impact of GM crops on UK farm profitability

 


Executive Summary continued - return to previous page

Technology costs
GM technology is largely charged for via seed price premia (as applies to new conventional seed). The level of premia charged will vary according to a number of commercial factors and market conditions. The price paid by farmers may also vary according to the margin added to seed by their supplier (eg, local merchant) and farmer ability to negotiate discounts on list/recommended prices. This is important to recognise when examining literature on the impact of GM technology because the higher the assumed cost of the technology, the lower the benefit and vice versa.

Co-existence
Co-existence relates to the economic consequences of adventitious presence of material from one crop in another and the principle that farmers should be able to cultivate freely the agricultural crops they choose, be it GM crops, conventional or organic crops (EU Commission 2003).

The issue of adventitious presence of (unwanted) material from one crop in another is not a new issue and almost all agricultural commodities are traded in recognition of some degree of adventitious presence of unwanted material occurring. Tolerances are invariably set for the presence of unwanted material because of the impossibility, in any practical agricultural crop product and food processing/handling chain, of ensuring absolute purity of products.

Some types of agricultural production are also based on practices and principles to maintain purity levels and minimise adventitious presence of impurities (eg, requiring maintenance of separation distances, segregation of crops at/after harvest, cleaning of equipment). These include seed production systems and speciality crops like high erucic oilseed rape.

Adventitious presence of GM crops in non GM crops has become an issue because of the development of distinct markets for non GM derived products (see above). Some non GM producers, particularly in the organic sector, raise the issue of possible negative economic consequences on their sector from co-existence with GM crops (ie, where an organic producer finds adventitious presence of GM crops in his/her crop above a given threshold and, as a result, may lose an organic price premia or incurs additional costs on-farm to minimise the risks of adventitious presence).

The key findings relating to co-existence, tolerance-related costs for GM crops are:

  • There is an underlying principle that the tighter the tolerance, the higher the cost involved in meeting that tolerance. Within the GM market context, this principle is clearly evident in respect of the current non GM market premia for soybeans and soymeal (see section 3.1), where the average premium for non GM soybeans and meal to a tolerance of 1% (presence of GM material), over the last year has been in the range of 2% to 5%, whilst the average non GM premium to a tolerance of 0.1% has been 7% to 10%.
     
  • There is limited evidence available on the possible incidence of adventitious contamination of non GM crops with GM material, of changes in farm practices that might be required to minimise adventitious presence and the feasibility of meeting possible threshold levels for adventitious presence (including associated costs). Where studies have examined these issues, the data presented should be treated with caution. In particular, costs cited for meeting tolerances of GMOs in non GM material are probably overstated because many of the activities suggested (for minimising adventitious presence) are already part of good agricultural practice and/or part of requirements for farmers who are members of quality assurance schemes . Therefore the additional cost involved for many farmers could be fairly low (or none at all) and in line with the fees paid for membership of quality assurance schemes.
     
  • If GM crop growers were required to comply with specific conditions (eg, SCIMAC guidelines), there could be additional cost involved associated with compliance audit requirements. The current audit charges for the Farm Scale Evaluations (£800/site) represent one benchmark cost, although if this independent auditing activity were to be opened to wider competition, the level of audit fees paid might reasonably be expected to fall to levels in line with membership of quality assurance schemes (£0.44/ha to £1.4/ha).
     
  • The incentive for any non GM producing farmer to implement measures to minimise adventitious presence of GM material in non GM crops will be directly influenced by the relative costs involved compared to the consequences (eg, possible loss of non GM price premia, inability to sell the non GM crop in a given market). Where the consequence of not minimising adventitious presence is significant (eg, a significant non GM price premia, a significant organic premia or where a retailer insists on a tolerance of 0.1% as a condition of supply), then it is likely that farmers will be prepared to change farming practices and incur the associated costs. However, where the non GM price premia is low (eg, 1%-3%) or criteria for downgrading produce (eg, organic to non organic) are based on adherence to principles rather than regular testing, it is probable that many farmers will not feel it necessary to incur costs of monitoring or changing.
     
  • The same principles apply to any farmers faced with possible liability ‘claims’ from other producers (these could be GM producers facing possible liability claims from non GM producers who have lost non GM price premia or non GM producers facing liability claims from GM producers of crops containing quality traits that have lost quality trait-related premia). The underlying willingness to take actions (eg, changing farming practices, siting of crops, taking out insurance) to minimise adventitious presence of their crop in someone else’s will be directly related to their perception of the risk of adventitious presence occurring and the level of liability that might be incurred.
     

Continue to page 4

 

Full report published by the UK Cabinet Office Strategy Unit - PDF

Executive Summary

 


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