Home
Search
GM Crop News
Who we are
Publications

Projects

Expertise
> GM 10 Global Study
> GM Food Avoidence expensive
> GM Crops in Poland
> GM crops impact on UK farm profitability
> Co-existence of GM and non GM crops
> Bt maize in Spain
> Roundup Ready Soyabeans in Romania
Useful Links

>Farm Scale Trials

>Liability
>Market dynamics
>GM Debate
>GM crops & organics
>GM crops & LDC's
>GM yields
>GM pesticide use
Site Map
Contact
     

Consultancy support for the analysis of the impact of GM crops on UK farm profitability

 


Executive Summary continued - return to previous page

Possible impact of GM technology on sugar beet grown in the UK

Profitability (as measured by gross margins) in 2002 was within a range of £707/ha and £988/ha.  Sugar beet has generally been the most consistently profitable arable crop in the UK, although the area planted is controlled by the EU sugar regime production quotas.  It accounted for about 4% of the total UK arable crop area in 2002. 

Total variable costs (including haulage, harvesting and contracting) in 2002 were within a range of £792/ha and £853/ha, of which herbicides accounted for between 8% and 9% of costs.  Average yields fall within a range of 50 tonnes/ha and 63 tonnes/ha. 

GM traits of relevance to the UK

The main GM sugar beet trait likely to be commercialised in the next few years is GM herbicide tolerance (to glyphosate).  The potential applicability, adoption and impact on UK farming profitability of this product is summarised in Table d.  For further details the reader should read section 5.3 and appendix 5. 

Table d: Summary of possible farm level economic impact of GM herbicide tolerant (to glyphosate) sugar beet

Possible date for commercialisation in the UK

2006-2008

Impact on costs of production

May reduce average level of expenditure on herbicides – amount subject to debate/dispute.  May (2003) estimates that the likely herbicide costs for a farmer using herbicide tolerant sugar beet would be between £26/ha to £40/ha.  This compares with the current average herbicide costs (including application) for conventional sugar beet of £129/ha-£149/ha using May’s data, £84-£104/ha using FARM data, £102/ha using ADAS data and £167/ha using Velcourt data.  Assuming a technology fee/seed premium of £20-£30/ha (May 2003), this would result in an approximate net saving on herbicide costs of £80/ha based on May’s data, £36/ha using FARM data, £44/ha using ADAS data and £109/ha using Velcourt data;  

Impact on yield

Based on trials data and existing analysis such as May 2003, Dewar et al 2000 & 2003 and Gianessi et al 2002, an increase in yield is likely.  This could be within a range of 5% to 10%.  At 5% (relative to an average yield of 50 tonnes/ha) this is equal to an additional £75/ha in gross margin and at 10% it is equal to an additional £150/ha 

Other possible cost savings

Possible cost savings from reduced use of crop consultants, greater management flexibility, adoption of minimum tillage practices, improved rotational weed control and reduced stubble control.  These possible savings will vary by farm and could be within the range of zero to £32/ha (these boundaries are based on the respective views of FARM and May)

Facilitation of low/non tillage practices

May re-inforce this husbandry trend which offers scope for lower energy use, less ploughing and higher profitability

Increased management flexibility

Efficient weed management is critical to sugar beet because of its vulnerability at early stages of growth to weed competition (can affect yield) and crops are typically sprayed 4 to 5 times to a strict timetable in line with weed stage development.  A move to a glyphosate based system (2 sprays) would offer increased flexibility on timing

Notes:

1.   For consideration of generic issues such as herbicide tolerant weed resistance, volunteers, whether there is a market for GM sugar beet, non GM price differentials and co-existence issues see sub-section above

2.   The assumed technology fee (May 2003) does not reflect actual fees – these are not known and the values used are purely illustrative


Continue to page 8

 

Full report published by the UK Cabinet Office Strategy Unit - PDF

Executive Summary

 


Independent and objective consultants servicing the agricultural, agricultural supply trade, rural and food industries.


©PG Economics Limited 2004-2008
Registered Office: Stafford House, 10 Prince of Wales Road, Dorchester, Dorset, DT1 1PW, UK
Tel: +44 (0)1300 321501 (P Barfoot) +44 (0)1531 650123 (G Brookes) Fax: +44 (0)1531 650099

www.pgeconomics.co.uk

Disclaimer: A number of different sources of information were used in compiling PG Economics reports and website files. Our reports and files contain some forecasts and estimates. It therefore remains possible that the reports and web files contain inaccuracies. PG Economics and its Directors do not accept any liability arising from any such errors or omissions and shall not be liable for any loss or damage suffered as a result of any information given in its publications and website.