Foreword
This brief is intended for use by a wide range of people with
interests in agriculture and the environment. As a summary of the key
findings relating to the impact of biotech crops (1996-2007), this
brief focuses on yield effects, as detailed in ‘Global impact of
biotech crops: socio-economic and environmental effects 1996-2007’,
by Graham Brookes & Peter Barfoot.
The food security analysis
presented in this document is derived from
data contained in the full report.
Positive yield and production impacts
Since
1996, biotech crops have added important volumes to global production
of corn, cotton, canola and soybeans (Table 1).
Production of the four crops, on the 111 million hectares planted to
biotech crops in 2007, were significantly higher than levels would
have otherwise been if GM technology had not been used by farmers
(Table 1). Incremental yields ranged from eight percent for canola to
30 percent for soybeans.
Table 1:
Additional crop production arising from positive yield/production
effects of biotech crops
|
|
1996-2007 additional production (million tonnes) |
2007 additional production (million tonnes) |
Per cent change in production 2007 on area planted to biotech
crops |
|
Soybeans |
67.80 |
14.46 |
29.8 |
|
Corn |
62.42 |
15.08 |
7.6 |
|
Cotton |
6.85 |
2.01 |
19.8 |
|
Canola |
4.44 |
0.54 |
8.5 |
The
biotech insect resistant (IR) traits have targeted
major pests of corn and cotton crops. These pests, persistent in many
parts of the world, significantly reduce yield and crop quality,
unless crop protection practices are employed.
The
biotech IR traits have delivered positive yield impacts in all user
countries (except Australia)
when compared to average yields derived from crops using conventional
technology (such as application of insecticides and seed treatments).
Since, 1996, the average yield impact across the total area planted to
these traits over the 12 year period has been +6.1 percent for corn
traits and +13.4 percent for cotton traits (Figure 1).
Figure
1: Average yield impact of biotech IR traits 1996-2007 by country and
trait

Notes: IRCB = resistant to corn boring pests, IRCRW = resistant to
corn rootworm
Although the primary impact of biotech herbicide tolerant (HT)
technology has been to provide more cost effective (less
expensive) and easier weed control versus improving yields from
better weed control (relative to weed control obtained from
conventional technology), improved weed control has, nevertheless
occurred - delivering higher yields. Specifically, HT soybeans in
Romania improved the average yield by over 30 per cent and biotech HT
corn in Argentina and the Philippines delivered yield improvements of
+9 per cent and +15 per cent respectively.
Biotech HT soybeans have also facilitated the adoption of no tillage
production systems, shortening the production cycle. This advantage
enables many farmers in South America to plant a crop of soybeans
immediately after a wheat crop in the same growing season. This
second crop, additional to traditional soybean production, has added
67.5 million tonnes to soybean production in Argentina and Paraguay
between 1996 and 2007.
Improving economic well being and food security
Biotech traits have increased farmer incomes by a total of $44.1
billion (1996-2007). Half of this extra income has been earned by
farmers in developing countries.
This
incremental farm income, when spent on goods and services, has had a
positive multiplying effect on local, regional and national
economies. In developing countries, the additional income derived
from biotech crops has enabled more farmers to consistently meet their
food subsistence needs and to improve the standards of living of their
households. In India and the Philippines, where farmers use biotech
IR cotton and corn respectively, their household incomes have
typically increased by over a third and often by even higher
amounts.
The
additional production arising from biotech crops (1996-2007) has also
contributed enough energy (in kcal terms) to feed about 402 million
people for a year (additional production in 2007 contributed enough
energy to feed 88 million, similar to the annual requirement of the
population of the Philippines: see appendix for assumptions and
calculations). Important contributions to meeting the protein and fat
requirements of considerable numbers of people have also arisen
(Figure 2).
Figure 2: Contribution to food security from
biotech crop additional production 1996-2007 (millions fed/year)

Environmental benefits
Biotech crop production has also resulted in important environmental
benefits. Pesticide use on the four crops in the countries where
biotech crops have been planted have fallen by 359 million kg (-8.8%),
resulting in a larger, 17.2% reduction in the associated environmental
impact
(Figure 3).
Figure 3: Change in herbicide and insecticide
use from growing GM crops 1996-2007

Greenhouse gas emission (GHG) reductions have also been facilitated,
equal to 14.2 billion kg of carbon dioxide in 2007, equivalent to
removing 6.3 million cars from the roads for a year (equal to 24% of
all registered cars in the UK). The GHG emission reductions derive
from reduced fuel use (due to less frequent herbicide and insecticide
applications and a reduction in the energy use in soil cultivation).
In addition, the facilitation of no and reduced tillage production
systems by the biotech HT technology results in less ploughing and
increased carbon storage in the soil. This additional carbon storage
reduces carbon dioxide emissions to the environment.
Appendix
Food security assumptions and calculations
Human food requirements per day (recommended daily allowances)
|
|
Male |
Female |
Average |
|
Energy (kcal) |
2,900 |
2,200 |
2,550 |
|
Protein (grams) |
63 |
50 |
56.5 |
|
Fat (grams) |
100 |
78 |
89 |
Source: FAO
Crop key nutrition composition (per kg of edible material)
|
|
Energy (kcal) |
Protein (grams) |
Fat (grams) |
|
Corn |
3,650 |
94 |
47 |
|
Canola oil |
8,840 |
0 |
1,000 |
|
Canola meal |
3,540 |
380 |
38 |
|
Soybean oil |
8,840 |
0 |
1,000 |
|
Soybean meal |
3,370 |
485 |
10 |
|
Cottonseed oil |
8,840 |
0 |
1,000 |
|
Cottonseed meal |
3,450 |
410 |
21 |
Source: USDA - Nutritional database for standard reference
www.ars.usda.gov
Main
constituents of oilseeds (source: Soya & Oilseed Bluebook)
·
Soybeans: 79.2% meal, 17.8% oil, 3% waste
·
Canola: 59% meal, 38% oil, 3% waste
·
Cottonseed: 44.9% meal, 16.2% oil, 8.2% lintners, 26.7% hulls, 4.1%
waste
Assumption on corn utilization – 99% usable
Assumptions for uses of crops
|
|
Food |
Feed |
Industrial (non food) |
|
Corn |
30% |
50% |
20% |
|
Soy oil |
98% |
0% |
2% |
|
Soy meal |
0% |
100% |
0% |
|
Canola oil |
60% |
0% |
40% |
|
Canola meal |
0% |
100% |
0% |
|
Cotton seed oil |
50% |
0% |
50% |
|
Cotton seed meal |
0% |
50% |
50% |
Source: derived from USDA
ERS
Feed Grains database
www.ers.usda.gov/data/feedgrains
Use of corn and oilseeds in meat production assumptions
The following simplifying assumptions were used:
·
As most corn and oilseeds at the global level are used in pig and
poultry rations, all usage is assumed to be in these two sectors;
·
Corn: 2.6 kg corn produces 1 kg of poultry meat at the consumer level,
6.5 kg of corn produces 1 kg of pig meat at the consumer level
(source: USDA ERS –
www.ers.usda/amberwaves/february2008/features/cornprices.htm.
Readers should note these are conservative estimates;
·
Feed conversion ratios of 1.8 kg feed produces 1 kg of chicken (live
weight) and 3 kg of feed produces 1kg of pig (live weight) – typical
feed conversion rates in developed countries for poultry are
1.7/1.75:1 and for pig meat are 2.5/2.8:1, hence the conversion rates
used are conservative;
·
Conversion of live weight to meat eaten by a consumer – for poultry
assumes 50% of live weight converted to meat and for pig meat assumes
35% conversion;
·
corn constitutes 70% of a typical poultry feed ration and 75% of a
typical pig ration;
·
meals (from soy, canola and cottonseed) are assumed to supply the main
part of the protein requirement in the feed ration with incorporation
rates of 25% in poultry feed and 20% in pig feed;
·
Based on the above assumptions, it takes 0.93 kg of meal to produce 1
kg of poultry meat (at the consumer level) and 1.73 kg of meal to
produce 1kg of pig meat (at the consumer level).
Of PG Economics Ltd, a UK-based independent consultancy. PG
Economics specializes in analyzing the impact of new technology in
agriculture. Their research into biotech crops has been widely
published in scientific journals including Agbioforum and the
International Journal of Biotechnology.
Focus on yield - Biotech crops; evidence, outcomes
and impacts 1996-2007 - open PDF
- open html
Focus on environmental impacts - Biotech crops;
evidence, outcomes and impacts 1996-2007 -
open PDF -
open html
Focus on income, well-being and food security -
Biotech crops; evidence, outcomes and impacts 1996-2007 -
open PDF -
open html
EU losing out on contributions to sustainable
farming from biotech traits - full
report,
press release and peer reviewed paper -
AgBioForum Vol 12(2)
184-208
For
additional information, contact Graham Brookes. Tel 00 44 (0) 1531
650123
www.pgeconomics.co.uk